Premarket Playbook — Thursday, 15 October 2026
Official Playbook · frozen 09:00:24 ET · 10 Stocks in Play
PremarketPlay published 10 Stocks in Play before the open on Thursday, 15 October 2026 (1 bullish, 9 bearish), frozen at 09:00:24 ET. Premarket context was Mixed (SPY −0.29%, QQQ −1.28%). Catalysts: 4 with no material news found, 1 guidance, 1 earnings, 1 product, 1 analyst, 1 macro/sector, 1 other news. After the Bell: 0 Strong Follow-Through, 5 Followed Through, 0 Limited/Mixed, 5 Bias Invalidated, 0 Unavailable.
Published Before the Bell
- SPY PM
- −0.29% as of 09:00 ET
- QQQ PM
- −1.28% as of 09:00 ET
- Market context
- Mixed rule
PremarketPlay provides information for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. A bullish or bearish bias is an informational assessment of premarket conditions, not a prediction or an instruction to trade. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.
| # | Symbol | Bias | PM price | Gap | PM activity | PM range | Catalyst | PM high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FMC FMC Corporation | ▼ BEARISH Gap | 4.87 | −3.22 −39.9% |
2.9M 68% of avg daily vol |
47.5% | GUIDANCE FMC lowers Q3 revenue guidance to $65M-$125M and projects adjusted EBITDA between negative $565M and negative $510M. (Oct 15 07:41 ET) | 8.12 4.28 |
| 2 | ERIC Ericsson | ▲ BULLISH Gap | 10.72 | +1.14 +11.9% |
3.7M 46% of avg daily vol |
12.7% | EARNINGS Ericsson beats Q3 earnings and sales estimates, reporting EPS of $0.18 versus $0.14 forecast and sales of $6.168B versus $5.790B forecast. (Oct 15 01:44 ET) | 10.78 9.56 |
| 3 | RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation | ▼ BEARISH Gap | 52.60 | −6.58 −11.1% |
2.6M 13% of avg daily vol |
5.0% | PRODUCT Rocket Lab delays Neutron rocket's maiden flight to 2027 after discovering manufacturing defects in production. (Oct 15 06:18 ET) | 55.04 52.06 |
| 4 | CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. | ▼ BEARISH Gap · Day-2 | 62.31 | −3.47 −5.3% |
6.0M 21% of avg daily vol |
5.8% | ANALYST Analyst warns of equity risks amid CoreWeave's $52B debt burden and mounting AI spending concerns. (Oct 15 08:28 ET) | 64.77 60.95 |
| 5 | APLD Applied Digital Corporation | ▼ BEARISH Gap · Day-2 | 19.11 | −1.21 −6.0% |
1.4M 7% of avg daily vol |
6.6% | No material news No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET). Moving on volume and price action alone. | 20.06 18.71 |
| 6 | WULF TeraWulf Inc. | ▼ BEARISH Gap · Day-2 | 10.81 | −0.73 −6.3% |
1.6M 6% of avg daily vol |
6.8% | No material news No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET). Moving on volume and price action alone. | 11.38 10.60 |
| 7 | AXTI AXT Inc | ▼ BEARISH Gap · Day-2 | 57.75 | −3.84 −6.2% |
667K 8% of avg daily vol |
5.5% | No material news No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET). Moving on volume and price action alone. | 59.91 56.50 |
| 8 | AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | ▼ BEARISH Gap | 81.47 | −4.75 −5.5% |
763K 9% of avg daily vol |
5.4% | No material news No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET). Moving on volume and price action alone. | 85.35 80.73 |
| 9 | SKHY SK hynix Inc. | ▼ BEARISH Gap · Day-2 | 137.15 | −10.40 −7.0% |
3.9M 21% of avg daily vol |
2.4% | MACRO/SECTOR News found: see source. (Oct 15 06:52 ET) | 139.40 135.80 |
| 10 | IREN IREN Limited | ▼ BEARISH Gap · Day-2 | 28.98 | −1.58 −5.2% |
4.3M 11% of avg daily vol |
4.5% | OTHER NEWS News found: see source. (Oct 15 04:29 ET) | 30.27 28.90 |
After the Bell
- 0 Strong Follow-Through
- 5 Followed Through
- 0 Limited/Mixed
- 5 Bias Invalidated
- 0 Unavailable
- 0 Pending
| # | Symbol | Bias | Open | 10:30 | Close | Open → close | MFE | MAE | Standardised Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FMC | ▼ BEARISH | 5.12 | 5.35 | 5.62 | −9.77% | +6.92% +2.18R |
−9.51% −3.00R |
Bias Invalidated |
| 2 | ERIC | ▲ BULLISH | 10.65 | 10.43 | 10.71 | +0.56% | +4.18% +28.66R |
−1.12% −7.66R |
Bias Invalidated |
| 3 | RKLB | ▼ BEARISH | 53.86 | 51.99 | 55.25 | −2.58% | +3.47% +0.47R |
−7.61% −1.05R |
Bias Invalidated |
| 4 | CRWV | ▼ BEARISH | 61.43 | 60.52 | 69.69 | −13.45% | +1.94% +0.83R |
−14.94% −6.43R |
Bias Invalidated |
| 5 | APLD | ▼ BEARISH | 19.29 | 18.49 | 20.39 | −5.68% | +3.13% +1.19R |
−7.84% −2.99R |
Followed Through |
| 6 | WULF | ▼ BEARISH | 10.95 | 10.51 | 12.62 | −15.30% | +3.63% +1.26R |
−19.46% −6.78R |
Followed Through |
| 7 | AXTI | ▼ BEARISH | 57.51 | 55.82 | 57.91 | −0.70% | +4.90% +1.54R |
−5.27% −1.66R |
Followed Through |
| 8 | AAOI | ▼ BEARISH | 80.91 | 79.07 | 83.73 | −3.49% | +2.62% +0.65R |
−8.64% −2.14R |
Bias Invalidated |
| 9 | SKHY | ▼ BEARISH | 137.88 | 140.78 | 146.10 | −5.96% | +0.95% +1.94R |
−5.23% −10.69R |
Followed Through |
| 10 | IREN | ▼ BEARISH | 28.88 | 26.96 | 30.39 | −5.23% | +5.00% +1.14R |
−8.79% −2.01R |
Followed Through |
Open → close is measured from the official open in the bias direction. MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions from the 09:35 Reference. Standardised Outcomes describe later price behaviour under a fixed method (how it works); they are not executed trades or returns.
Play Cards
#1 FMC
FMC Corporation · NYSE
Why it's in play
Gapping down 39.9% premarket on 2.9M shares (68% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 47.5%.
- Gap −39.9%
- 2.9M PM vol
- 68% of ADV
- Range 47.5%
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap
Bearish bias: gapping down 39.9% premarket on 2.9M shares (68% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
GUIDANCE Relevance: High
FMC lowers Q3 revenue guidance to $65M-$125M and projects adjusted EBITDA between negative $565M and negative $510M.
Source: FMC Corp. Now Expects Q3 Revenue To Be $65M-$125M, With Adjusted EBITDA Of Negative $565M To Negative $510M · Benzinga · Oct 15, 07:41 ET
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 8.09
- PM price
- 4.87
- Gap
- −39.86%
- PM high
- 8.12
- PM low
- 4.28
- PM range
- 47.5%
- PM volume
- 2,949,892
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 68%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 4.81
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 11.23 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 8.32 |
| Premarket high | 8.12 |
| Previous close | 8.09 |
| Previous-day low | 8.04 |
| Round number above | 5.00 |
| PM price | 4.87 |
| Premarket VWAP | 4.81 |
| Round number below | 4.50 |
| Premarket low | 4.28 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 8.12
- PM low
- 4.28
- Last price
- 4.92
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Bias Invalidated
- Official open
- 5.12
- 10:30 price
- 5.35
- Session high
- 5.70
- Session low
- 4.85
- Close
- 5.62
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +5.37%
- Adverse
- −11.33%
- Open → close
- −9.77%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 5.21
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 5.37
- Reference risk (1R)
- 0.1650
- MFE
- +6.92% +2.18R
- MAE
- −9.51% −3.00R
- First touch
- +1R 09:45 · +2R 09:48 · −1R 09:36
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#2 ERIC
Ericsson · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping up 11.9% premarket on 3.7M shares (46% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 12.7%.
- Gap +11.9%
- 3.7M PM vol
- 46% of ADV
- Range 12.7%
▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap
Bullish bias: gapping up 11.9% premarket on 3.7M shares (46% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
EARNINGS Relevance: High
Ericsson beats Q3 earnings and sales estimates, reporting EPS of $0.18 versus $0.14 forecast and sales of $6.168B versus $5.790B forecast.
Source: Telefonaktiebolaget L M Q3 EPS $0.18 Beats $0.14 Estimate, Sales $6.168B Beat $5.790B Estimate · Benzinga · Oct 15, 01:44 ET
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:15 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 9.58
- PM price
- 10.72
- Gap
- +11.90%
- PM high
- 10.78
- PM low
- 9.56
- PM range
- 12.7%
- PM volume
- 3,668,402
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 46%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 10.65
Levels to watch
| Round number above | 11.00 |
|---|---|
| Premarket high | 10.78 |
| PM price | 10.72 |
| Premarket VWAP | 10.65 |
| Round number below | 10.00 |
| Previous-day high | 9.71 |
| Previous close | 9.58 |
| Premarket low | 9.56 |
| Previous-day low | 9.47 |
| 20-day low (support) | 9.04 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 10.78
- PM low
- 9.56
- Last price
- 10.63
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Bias Invalidated
- Official open
- 10.65
- 10:30 price
- 10.43
- Session high
- 10.73
- Session low
- 10.18
- Close
- 10.71
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +0.70%
- Adverse
- −4.41%
- Open → close
- +0.56%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 10.30
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 10.28
- Reference risk (1R)
- 0.0150
- MFE
- +4.18% +28.66R
- MAE
- −1.12% −7.66R
- First touch
- +1R 09:35 · +2R 09:35 · −1R 09:35
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Data note: same bar 13:35:resolved by trades:adv
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#3 RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping down 11.1% premarket on 2.6M shares (13% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 5.0%.
- Gap −11.1%
- 2.6M PM vol
- 13% of ADV
- Range 5.0%
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap
Bearish bias: gapping down 11.1% premarket on 2.6M shares (13% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
PRODUCT Relevance: High
Rocket Lab delays Neutron rocket's maiden flight to 2027 after discovering manufacturing defects in production.
Source: Rocket Lab Stock Plunges Nearly 10% After Another Neutron Launch Setback · Benzinga · Oct 15, 06:18 ET
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:55 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 59.18
- PM price
- 52.60
- Gap
- −11.12%
- PM high
- 55.04
- PM low
- 52.06
- PM range
- 5.0%
- PM volume
- 2,585,679
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 13%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 53.30
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 78.28 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 63.56 |
| Previous close | 59.18 |
| Previous-day low | 58.84 |
| Premarket high | 55.04 |
| Premarket VWAP | 53.30 |
| PM price | 52.60 |
| Premarket low | 52.06 |
| Round number below | 50.00 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 55.04
- PM low
- 52.06
- Last price
- 54.00
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Bias Invalidated
- Official open
- 53.86
- 10:30 price
- 51.99
- Session high
- 55.40
- Session low
- 49.69
- Close
- 55.25
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +7.74%
- Adverse
- −2.86%
- Open → close
- −2.58%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 51.48
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 55.21
- Reference risk (1R)
- 3.73
- MFE
- +3.47% +0.47R
- MAE
- −7.61% −1.05R
- First touch
- +1R — · +2R — · −1R 15:25
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#4 CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping down 5.3% premarket on 6.0M shares (21% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 5.8%. Also a Day-2 continuation of yesterday's gap in the same direction.
- Gap −5.3%
- 6.0M PM vol
- 21% of ADV
- Range 5.8%
- Day-2 continuation
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap · Day-2
Bearish bias: gapping down 5.3% premarket on 6.0M shares (21% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
ANALYST Relevance: High
Analyst warns of equity risks amid CoreWeave's $52B debt burden and mounting AI spending concerns.
Source: CoreWeave Stock Keeps Sinking As Wall Street Questions Its Debt-Fueled AI Empire · Benzinga · Oct 15, 08:28 ET
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:32 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 65.78
- PM price
- 62.31
- Gap
- −5.27%
- PM high
- 64.77
- PM low
- 60.95
- PM range
- 5.8%
- PM volume
- 6,041,492
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 21%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 62.67
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 93.21 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 72.52 |
| Previous close | 65.78 |
| Round number above | 65.00 |
| Premarket high | 64.77 |
| Previous-day low | 64.41 |
| Premarket VWAP | 62.67 |
| PM price | 62.31 |
| Premarket low | 60.95 |
| Round number below | 60.00 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 64.77
- PM low
- 60.95
- Last price
- 61.22
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Bias Invalidated
- Official open
- 61.43
- 10:30 price
- 60.52
- Session high
- 69.76
- Session low
- 59.51
- Close
- 69.69
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +3.13%
- Adverse
- −13.56%
- Open → close
- −13.45%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 60.69
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 62.10
- Reference risk (1R)
- 1.41
- MFE
- +1.94% +0.83R
- MAE
- −14.94% −6.43R
- First touch
- +1R — · +2R — · −1R 09:44
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Data note: reference capture differs from eod
- Data note: reference minutes missing:1
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#5 APLD
Applied Digital Corporation · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping down 6.0% premarket on 1.4M shares (7% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 6.6%. Also a Day-2 continuation of yesterday's gap in the same direction.
- Gap −6.0%
- 1.4M PM vol
- 7% of ADV
- Range 6.6%
- Day-2 continuation
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap · Day-2
Bearish bias: gapping down 6.0% premarket on 1.4M shares (7% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
No material news
No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET). Moving on volume and price action alone.
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 20.33
- PM price
- 19.11
- Gap
- −5.97%
- PM high
- 20.06
- PM low
- 18.71
- PM range
- 6.6%
- PM volume
- 1,400,096
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 7%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 19.27
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 29.10 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 21.80 |
| Previous close | 20.33 |
| Premarket high | 20.06 |
| Previous-day low | 20.01 |
| Premarket VWAP | 19.27 |
| PM price | 19.11 |
| Round number below | 19.00 |
| Premarket low | 18.71 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 20.06
- PM low
- 18.71
- Last price
- 19.08
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Followed Through
- Official open
- 19.29
- 10:30 price
- 18.49
- Session high
- 20.44
- Session low
- 18.36
- Close
- 20.39
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +4.84%
- Adverse
- −5.94%
- Open → close
- −5.68%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 18.95
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 19.45
- Reference risk (1R)
- 0.4960
- MFE
- +3.13% +1.19R
- MAE
- −7.84% −2.99R
- First touch
- +1R 09:54 · +2R — · −1R 11:13
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#6 WULF
TeraWulf Inc. · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping down 6.3% premarket on 1.6M shares (6% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 6.8%. Also a Day-2 continuation of yesterday's gap in the same direction.
- Gap −6.3%
- 1.6M PM vol
- 6% of ADV
- Range 6.8%
- Day-2 continuation
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap · Day-2
Bearish bias: gapping down 6.3% premarket on 1.6M shares (6% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
No material news
No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET). Moving on volume and price action alone.
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 11.54
- PM price
- 10.81
- Gap
- −6.30%
- PM high
- 11.38
- PM low
- 10.60
- PM range
- 6.8%
- PM volume
- 1,632,481
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 6%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 10.93
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 17.93 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 12.69 |
| Previous close | 11.54 |
| Previous-day low | 11.40 |
| Premarket high | 11.38 |
| Round number above | 11.00 |
| Premarket VWAP | 10.93 |
| PM price | 10.81 |
| Premarket low | 10.60 |
| Round number below | 10.00 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 11.38
- PM low
- 10.60
- Last price
- 10.94
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Followed Through
- Official open
- 10.95
- 10:30 price
- 10.51
- Session high
- 12.83
- Session low
- 10.35
- Close
- 12.62
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +5.44%
- Adverse
- −17.22%
- Open → close
- −15.30%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 10.74
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 11.05
- Reference risk (1R)
- 0.3080
- MFE
- +3.63% +1.26R
- MAE
- −19.46% −6.78R
- First touch
- +1R 09:57 · +2R — · −1R 10:46
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#7 AXTI
AXT Inc · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping down 6.2% premarket on 667K shares (8% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 5.5%. Also a Day-2 continuation of yesterday's gap in the same direction.
- Gap −6.2%
- 667K PM vol
- 8% of ADV
- Range 5.5%
- Day-2 continuation
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap · Day-2
Bearish bias: gapping down 6.2% premarket on 667K shares (8% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
No material news
No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET). Moving on volume and price action alone.
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:05 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 61.59
- PM price
- 57.75
- Gap
- −6.23%
- PM high
- 59.91
- PM low
- 56.50
- PM range
- 5.5%
- PM volume
- 667,171
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 8%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 57.77
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 88.36 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 65.35 |
| Previous close | 61.59 |
| Previous-day low | 60.31 |
| Round number above | 60.00 |
| Premarket high | 59.91 |
| Premarket VWAP | 57.77 |
| PM price | 57.75 |
| Premarket low | 56.50 |
| Round number below | 55.00 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 59.91
- PM low
- 56.50
- Last price
- 57.25
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Followed Through
- Official open
- 57.51
- 10:30 price
- 55.82
- Session high
- 59.01
- Session low
- 53.31
- Close
- 57.91
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +7.30%
- Adverse
- −2.61%
- Open → close
- −0.70%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 56.06
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 57.83
- Reference risk (1R)
- 1.78
- MFE
- +4.90% +1.54R
- MAE
- −5.27% −1.66R
- First touch
- +1R 09:53 · +2R — · −1R 10:57
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Data note: reference capture differs from eod
- Data note: reference minutes missing:1
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#8 AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping down 5.5% premarket on 763K shares (9% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 5.4%.
- Gap −5.5%
- 763K PM vol
- 9% of ADV
- Range 5.4%
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap
Bearish bias: gapping down 5.5% premarket on 763K shares (9% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
No material news
No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET). Moving on volume and price action alone.
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 86.22
- PM price
- 81.47
- Gap
- −5.51%
- PM high
- 85.35
- PM low
- 80.73
- PM range
- 5.4%
- PM volume
- 763,298
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 9%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 82.57
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 131.15 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 96.14 |
| Previous close | 86.22 |
| Previous-day low | 85.76 |
| Premarket high | 85.35 |
| Round number above | 85.00 |
| Premarket VWAP | 82.57 |
| PM price | 81.47 |
| Premarket low | 80.73 |
| Round number below | 80.00 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 85.35
- PM low
- 80.73
- Last price
- 81.10
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Bias Invalidated
- Official open
- 80.91
- 10:30 price
- 79.07
- Session high
- 85.02
- Session low
- 76.21
- Close
- 83.73
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +5.81%
- Adverse
- −5.08%
- Open → close
- −3.49%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 78.26
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 81.41
- Reference risk (1R)
- 3.15
- MFE
- +2.62% +0.65R
- MAE
- −8.64% −2.14R
- First touch
- +1R — · +2R — · −1R 10:43
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Data note: reference capture differs from eod
- Data note: reference minutes missing:1
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#9 SKHY
SK hynix Inc. · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping down 7.0% premarket on 3.9M shares (21% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 2.4%. Also a Day-2 continuation of yesterday's gap in the same direction.
- Gap −7.0%
- 3.9M PM vol
- 21% of ADV
- Range 2.4%
- Day-2 continuation
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap · Day-2
Bearish bias: gapping down 7.0% premarket on 3.9M shares (21% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
MACRO/SECTOR Relevance: Medium
News found: see source.
Source: Elon Musk’s China RAM Warning Raises Questions for Samsung, SK Hynix as South Korea Faces Potential Memory Chip Oversupply and Less Time To Diversify · Benzinga · Oct 15, 06:52 ET
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:05 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 147.55
- PM price
- 137.15
- Gap
- −7.05%
- PM high
- 139.40
- PM low
- 135.80
- PM range
- 2.4%
- PM volume
- 3,946,255
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 21%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 137.67
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 196.48 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 152.37 |
| Previous close | 147.55 |
| Previous-day low | 147.13 |
| Round number above | 140.00 |
| Premarket high | 139.40 |
| Premarket VWAP | 137.67 |
| PM price | 137.15 |
| Premarket low | 135.80 |
| Round number below | 130.00 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 139.40
- PM low
- 135.80
- Last price
- 137.68
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Followed Through
- Official open
- 137.88
- 10:30 price
- 140.78
- Session high
- 146.39
- Session low
- 137.80
- Close
- 146.10
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +0.06%
- Adverse
- −6.17%
- Open → close
- −5.96%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 139.12
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 139.80
- Reference risk (1R)
- 0.6800
- MFE
- +0.95% +1.94R
- MAE
- −5.23% −10.69R
- First touch
- +1R 09:35 · +2R — · −1R 09:39
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Data note: reference capture differs from eod
- Data note: reference minutes missing:1
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
#10 IREN
IREN Limited · NASDAQ
Why it's in play
Gapping down 5.2% premarket on 4.3M shares (11% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 4.5%. Also a Day-2 continuation of yesterday's gap in the same direction.
- Gap −5.2%
- 4.3M PM vol
- 11% of ADV
- Range 4.5%
- Day-2 continuation
▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap · Day-2
Bearish bias: gapping down 5.2% premarket on 4.3M shares (11% of avg daily volume).
Catalyst
OTHER NEWS Relevance: Low
News found: see source.
Source: Daniel Newman Says ‘Grown-Up Move’ For Neocloud CEOs of CoreWeave, IREN Is to Buy Their Own Stock, Like Palo Alto Chief: ‘A Real Signal of Belief’ · Benzinga · Oct 15, 04:29 ET
Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.
Premarket snapshot
- Previous close
- 30.56
- PM price
- 28.98
- Gap
- −5.16%
- PM high
- 30.27
- PM low
- 28.90
- PM range
- 4.5%
- PM volume
- 4,328,027
- PM vol / avg daily vol
- 11%
- Relative activity
- unavailable
- PM VWAP
- 29.49
Levels to watch
| 20-day high (resistance) | 49.37 |
|---|---|
| Previous-day high | 33.85 |
| Previous close | 30.56 |
| Previous-day low | 30.38 |
| Premarket high | 30.27 |
| Premarket VWAP | 29.49 |
| Round number above | 29.00 |
| PM price | 28.98 |
| Premarket low | 28.90 |
| Round number below | 28.00 |
Final PM levels (09:29 ET)
- PM high
- 30.27
- PM low
- 28.51
- Last price
- 28.88
Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.
After the Bell Followed Through
- Official open
- 28.88
- 10:30 price
- 26.96
- Session high
- 30.46
- Session low
- 26.60
- Close
- 30.39
Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction
- Favourable
- +7.89%
- Adverse
- −5.47%
- Open → close
- −5.23%
Standardised Outcome ?
- 09:35 Reference
- 28.00
- Opening-range risk boundary
- 29.22
- Reference risk (1R)
- 1.22
- MFE
- +5.00% +1.14R
- MAE
- −8.79% −2.01R
- First touch
- +1R 09:57 · +2R — · −1R 14:11
MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.
- Possible halt: 12:57–14:11 ET (no 1-minute bars)
Calculated Oct 15, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars
Record
- Frozen
- 09:00:24 ET
- Data as of
- 09:00 ET
- Public from
- 16:00 ET (session close)
- Session
- 09:30–16:00 ET
- Versions
- selection v2 · bias v1 · catalyst v2 · methodology v1
- Snapshot SHA-256
f71223bc3d7abea07bfcba1b1b50e2a1d4b0564ab406aca655c6220bcf2876ed
The plan was sealed with this hash at the freeze, and the database refuses any later change to it. Corrections appear as separate, timestamped notes. How the freeze works.