Premarket Playbook — Monday, 12 October 2026

Official Playbook · frozen 09:00:18 ET · 10 Stocks in Play

PremarketPlay published 10 Stocks in Play before the open on Monday, 12 October 2026 (8 bullish, 2 bearish), frozen at 09:00:18 ET. Premarket context was Mixed (SPY +0.03%, QQQ −0.14%). Catalysts: 5 product, 2 m&a, 1 analyst, 1 with no material news found, 1 offering. After the Bell: 3 Strong Follow-Through, 2 Followed Through, 1 Limited/Mixed, 4 Bias Invalidated, 0 Unavailable.

Published Before the Bell

SPY PM: +0.03% as of 09:00 ET
QQQ PM: −0.14% as of 09:00 ET
Market context: Mixed rule

PremarketPlay provides information for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. A bullish or bearish bias is an informational assessment of premarket conditions, not a prediction or an instruction to trade. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.

Stocks in Play, in published rank order. Select a symbol for the full Play Card.
#	Symbol	Bias	PM price	Gap	PM activity	PM range	Catalyst	PM high / low
1	TRAX First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc.	▲ BULLISH Gap	39.73	+7.88 +24.7%	1.1M 151% of avg daily vol	52.5%	PRODUCT	50.18 33.46
2	APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc.	▲ BULLISH Gap	5.40	+0.38 +7.6%	586K 8% of avg daily vol	32.9%	PRODUCT	6.74 5.09
3	ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc.	▲ BULLISH Gap	53.17	+2.21 +4.3%	1.4M 13% of avg daily vol	5.5%	ANALYST	53.36 50.57
4	IREN IREN Limited	▲ BULLISH Gap	36.59	+1.40 +4.0%	4.5M 11% of avg daily vol	6.3%	PRODUCT	38.50 36.27
5	CCC CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.	▲ BULLISH Gap	7.79	+0.77 +11.0%	952K 9% of avg daily vol	4.4%	M&A	7.88 7.57
6	XRPN Armada Acquisition Corp. II	▼ BEARISH Day-2	16.21	−0.88 −5.1%	73K 6% of avg daily vol	19.6%	No material news	19.30 15.95
7	BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.	▲ BULLISH Gap	61.00	+1.88 +3.2%	714K 6% of avg daily vol	10.5%	PRODUCT	63.56 57.37
8	ONDS Ondas Inc.	▲ BULLISH Gap	7.04	+0.31 +4.6%	3.4M 6% of avg daily vol	7.1%	PRODUCT	7.15 6.67
9	IONQ IonQ, Inc.	▼ BEARISH Gap	38.85	−1.04 −2.6%	1.2M 5% of avg daily vol	9.9%	M&A	42.11 38.18
10	MDT Medtronic plc	▲ BULLISH Gap	90.50	+2.02 +2.3%	2.0M 10% of avg daily vol	2.8%	OFFERING	90.55 88.10

After the Bell

3 Strong Follow-Through
2 Followed Through
1 Limited/Mixed
4 Bias Invalidated
0 Unavailable
0 Pending

After the Bell outcomes in the original published rank order
#	Symbol	Bias	Open	10:30	Close	Open → close	MFE	MAE	Standardised Outcome
1	TRAX	▲ BULLISH	39.45	34.38	34.05	−13.69%	+3.96% +1.08R	−11.95% −3.27R	Followed Through
2	APUS	▲ BULLISH	5.43	5.54	5.20	−4.24%	+7.68% +1.68R	−11.32% −2.48R	Bias Invalidated
3	ASTS	▲ BULLISH	53.26	53.56	51.46	−3.38%	+2.32% +2.01R	−3.95% −3.43R	Strong Follow-Through
4	IREN	▲ BULLISH	36.31	35.75	34.80	−4.15%	+0.08% +0.05R	−4.45% −3.16R	Bias Invalidated
5	CCC	▲ BULLISH	7.68	7.70	7.59	−1.17%	+0.91% +0.43R	−2.47% −1.18R	Bias Invalidated
6	XRPN	▼ BEARISH	16.68	17.39	16.91	−1.38%	+12.80% +18.01R	−3.16% −4.44R	Strong Follow-Through
7	BMY	▲ BULLISH	60.11	57.42	57.58	−4.21%	+0.13% +0.08R	−6.26% −4.21R	Bias Invalidated
8	ONDS	▲ BULLISH	7.06	6.77	6.67	−5.52%	+2.02% +1.37R	−4.48% −3.03R	Followed Through
9	IONQ	▼ BEARISH	38.79	36.15	36.27	+6.50%	+5.78% +3.05R	−0.76% −0.40R	Strong Follow-Through
10	MDT	▲ BULLISH	90.76	90.97	91.93	+1.29%	+1.06% +0.82R	−1.24% −0.96R	Limited/Mixed

Open → close is measured from the official open in the bias direction. MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions from the 09:35 Reference. Standardised Outcomes describe later price behaviour under a fixed method (how it works); they are not executed trades or returns.

Play Cards

#1 TRAX

First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. · NASDAQ

39.73 +7.88 (+24.7%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping up 24.7% premarket on 1.1M shares (151% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 52.5%.

Gap +24.7%
1.1M PM vol
151% of ADV
Range 52.5%

▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap

Bullish bias: gapping up 24.7% premarket on 1.1M shares (151% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

PRODUCT Relevance: High

First Tracks' ANB033 achieves positive clinical outcomes in Phase 1b celiac disease study.

Source: Why Is First Tracks Biotherapeutics Stock Soaring Monday? · Benzinga · Oct 12, 08:23 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:30 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 31.85
PM price: 39.73
Gap: +24.74%
PM high: 50.18
PM low: 33.46
PM range: 52.5%
PM volume: 1,101,418
PM vol / avg daily vol: 151%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 39.85

Levels to watch

Premarket high	50.18
20-day high (resistance)	42.24
Round number above	40.00
Premarket VWAP	39.85
PM price	39.73
Round number below	39.00
Premarket low	33.46
Previous-day high	33.28
Previous close	31.85
Previous-day low	30.71
20-day low (support)	30.11

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 50.18
PM low: 33.46
Last price: 38.61

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Followed Through

Official open: 39.45
10:30 price: 34.38
Session high: 40.50
Session low: 33.02
Close: 34.05

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +2.66%
Adverse: −16.30%
Open → close: −13.69%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 37.50
Opening-range risk boundary: 36.13
Reference risk (1R): 1.37
MFE: +3.96% +1.08R
MAE: −11.95% −3.27R
First touch: +1R 09:36 · +2R — · −1R 10:00

MFE/MAE are full post-reference session excursions (09:35 to the close), including moves after invalidation. Based on PremarketPlay's fixed five-minute reference methodology. This does not represent an executed trade.

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#2 APUS

Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. · AMEX

5.40 +0.38 (+7.6%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping up 7.6% premarket on 586K shares (8% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 32.9%.

Gap +7.6%
586K PM vol
8% of ADV
Range 32.9%

▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap

Bullish bias: gapping up 7.6% premarket on 586K shares (8% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

PRODUCT Relevance: High

News found: see source.

Source: Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US' Subsidiary Mindwave Innovations Signs Three Agreements Between Sept. 24 And Oct. 4, 2026, To Build And Operate Dedicated Blockchain Networks For Clients In Climate Finance, Sports Media And Insurance · Benzinga · Oct 9, 18:03 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 5.02
PM price: 5.40
Gap: +7.57%
PM high: 6.74
PM low: 5.09
PM range: 32.9%
PM volume: 586,252
PM vol / avg daily vol: 8%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 5.82

Levels to watch

20-day high (resistance)	9.84
Premarket high	6.74
Premarket VWAP	5.82
Previous-day high	5.72
Round number above	5.50
PM price	5.40
Premarket low	5.09
Previous close	5.02
Round number below	5.00
Previous-day low	4.40
20-day low (support)	1.51

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 6.74
PM low: 5.09
Last price: 5.41

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Bias Invalidated

Official open: 5.43
10:30 price: 5.54
Session high: 6.04
Session low: 4.97
Close: 5.20

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +11.15%
Adverse: −8.46%
Open → close: −4.24%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 5.61
Opening-range risk boundary: 5.35
Reference risk (1R): 0.2550
MFE: +7.68% +1.68R
MAE: −11.32% −2.48R
First touch: +1R 10:05 · +2R — · −1R 09:42

Possible halt: 12:24–12:30 ET (no 1-minute bars)

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#3 ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. · NASDAQ

53.17 +2.21 (+4.3%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping up 4.3% premarket on 1.4M shares (13% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 5.5%.

Gap +4.3%
1.4M PM vol
13% of ADV
Range 5.5%

▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap

Bullish bias: gapping up 4.3% premarket on 1.4M shares (13% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

ANALYST Relevance: High

Deutsche Bank upgrades AST SpaceMobile to Buy with $93 price target.

Source: Deutsche Bank Upgrades AST SpaceMobile to Buy, Maintains Price Target to $93 · Benzinga · Oct 12, 06:47 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 50.97
PM price: 53.17
Gap: +4.33%
PM high: 53.36
PM low: 50.57
PM range: 5.5%
PM volume: 1,380,852
PM vol / avg daily vol: 13%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 52.45

Levels to watch

20-day high (resistance)	65.47
Previous-day high	55.85
Round number above	55.00
Premarket high	53.36
PM price	53.17
Premarket VWAP	52.45
Previous close	50.97
Premarket low	50.57
Round number below	50.00
Previous-day low	47.57

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 53.73
PM low: 50.57
Last price: 53.37

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Strong Follow-Through

Official open: 53.26
10:30 price: 53.56
Session high: 54.67
Session low: 51.32
Close: 51.46

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +2.65%
Adverse: −3.64%
Open → close: −3.38%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 53.43
Opening-range risk boundary: 52.82
Reference risk (1R): 0.6150
MFE: +2.32% +2.01R
MAE: −3.95% −3.43R
First touch: +1R 09:40 · +2R 09:43 · −1R 09:58

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#4 IREN

IREN Limited · NASDAQ

36.59 +1.40 (+4.0%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping up 4.0% premarket on 4.5M shares (11% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 6.3%.

Gap +4.0%
4.5M PM vol
11% of ADV
Range 6.3%

▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap

Bullish bias: gapping up 4.0% premarket on 4.5M shares (11% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

PRODUCT Relevance: High

IREN signed a multiyear cloud deal with Anthropic.

Source: IREN Reportedly Signed Multiyear Cloud Deal With Anthropic · Benzinga · Oct 12, 05:34 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 35.19
PM price: 36.59
Gap: +3.97%
PM high: 38.50
PM low: 36.27
PM range: 6.3%
PM volume: 4,539,454
PM vol / avg daily vol: 11%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 37.12

Levels to watch

20-day high (resistance)	49.37
Premarket high	38.50
Premarket VWAP	37.12
Round number above	37.00
PM price	36.59
Premarket low	36.27
Round number below	36.00
20-day low (support)	35.24
Previous close	35.19
Previous-day low	34.64

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 38.50
PM low: 36.23
Last price: 36.29

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Bias Invalidated

Official open: 36.31
10:30 price: 35.75
Session high: 36.69
Session low: 34.66
Close: 34.80

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +1.07%
Adverse: −4.54%
Open → close: −4.15%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 36.27
Opening-range risk boundary: 35.76
Reference risk (1R): 0.5099
MFE: +0.08% +0.05R
MAE: −4.45% −3.16R
First touch: +1R — · +2R — · −1R 09:36

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#5 CCC

CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. · NASDAQ

7.79 +0.77 (+11.0%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping up 11.0% premarket on 952K shares (9% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 4.4%.

Gap +11.0%
952K PM vol
9% of ADV
Range 4.4%

▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap

Bullish bias: gapping up 11.0% premarket on 952K shares (9% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

M&A Relevance: High

GTCR and Elliott near deal to acquire CCC.

Source: 'GTCR and Elliott Said to Near Deal for Software Firm CCC'- Bloomberg · Benzinga · Oct 9, 16:47 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:15 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 7.02
PM price: 7.79
Gap: +10.97%
PM high: 7.88
PM low: 7.57
PM range: 4.4%
PM volume: 952,044
PM vol / avg daily vol: 9%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 7.73

Levels to watch

Round number above	8.00
Premarket high	7.88
PM price	7.79
Premarket VWAP	7.73
Premarket low	7.57
Round number below	7.50
Previous-day high	7.18
Previous close	7.02
Previous-day low	6.60
20-day low (support)	6.24

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 7.88
PM low: 7.57
Last price: 7.72

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Bias Invalidated

Official open: 7.68
10:30 price: 7.70
Session high: 7.77
Session low: 7.51
Close: 7.59

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +1.17%
Adverse: −2.21%
Open → close: −1.17%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 7.70
Opening-range risk boundary: 7.54
Reference risk (1R): 0.1600
MFE: +0.91% +0.43R
MAE: −2.47% −1.18R
First touch: +1R — · +2R — · −1R 09:47

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#6 XRPN

Armada Acquisition Corp. II · NASDAQ

16.21 −0.88 (−5.1%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Day-2 continuation: yesterday it gapped down 13.7% and closed in the bottom 22% of its range.

Prior gap −13.7%
Closed at 22% of range
Day-2 continuation
PM −5.15%

▼ BEARISH BIAS Day-2

Bearish bias: yesterday gapped down 13.7% and closed near its low, a continuation setup. Premarket today: −5.15%.

Catalyst

No material news

No company-specific news found since yesterday's close (as of 09:00 ET).

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 17.09
PM price: 16.21
Gap: −5.15%
PM high: 19.30
PM low: 15.95
PM range: 19.6%
PM volume: 73,292
PM vol / avg daily vol: 6%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 17.08

Levels to watch

20-day high (resistance)	53.00
Previous-day high	21.00
Premarket high	19.30
Premarket VWAP	17.08
Round number above	17.00
PM price	16.21
Previous-day low	16.00
Premarket low	15.95
20-day low (support)	10.53

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 19.30
PM low: 15.95
Last price: 16.48

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Strong Follow-Through

Official open: 16.68
10:30 price: 17.39
Session high: 19.39
Session low: 16.39
Close: 16.91

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +1.74%
Adverse: −16.25%
Open → close: −1.38%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 18.80
Opening-range risk boundary: 18.93
Reference risk (1R): 0.1336
MFE: +12.80% +18.01R
MAE: −3.16% −4.44R
First touch: +1R 09:35 · +2R 09:35 · −1R 09:35

Data note: same bar 13:35:resolved by trades:fav
Data note: same bar 13:35:resolved by trades:fav

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#7 BMY

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. · NYSE

61.00 +1.88 (+3.2%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping up 3.2% premarket on 714K shares (6% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 10.5%.

Gap +3.2%
714K PM vol
6% of ADV
Range 10.5%

▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap

Bullish bias: gapping up 3.2% premarket on 714K shares (6% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

PRODUCT Relevance: High

Bristol-Myers Squibb's RYZ101 met primary endpoint in Phase 3 neuroendocrine tumor trial with statistically significant improvement in progression-free survival; Admilparant met primary endpoint in pulmonary fibrosis Phase 3 trial.

Source: Bristol Myers Squibb Announces Topline Results From Unit RayzeBio's Planned Interim Analysis Of ACTION-1 Trial; RYZ101 Study Met Primary Endpoint With Statistically Significant And Clinically Meaningful Improvement In Progression-Free Survival By Blinded Independent Central Review, And Safety Results Consistent With Known Safety Profile · Benzinga · Oct 12, 07:03 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:10 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 59.12
PM price: 61.00
Gap: +3.18%
PM high: 63.56
PM low: 57.37
PM range: 10.5%
PM volume: 713,782
PM vol / avg daily vol: 6%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 61.71

Levels to watch

20-day high (resistance)	65.29
Round number above	65.00
Premarket high	63.56
Premarket VWAP	61.71
PM price	61.00
Round number below	60.00
Previous-day high	59.79
Previous close	59.12
Previous-day low	58.74
20-day low (support)	58.33
Premarket low	57.37

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 63.56
PM low: 57.37
Last price: 60.78

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Bias Invalidated

Official open: 60.11
10:30 price: 57.42
Session high: 60.68
Session low: 56.72
Close: 57.58

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +0.95%
Adverse: −5.64%
Open → close: −4.21%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 60.51
Opening-range risk boundary: 59.61
Reference risk (1R): 0.9000
MFE: +0.13% +0.08R
MAE: −6.26% −4.21R
First touch: +1R — · +2R — · −1R 09:41

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#8 ONDS

Ondas Inc. · NASDAQ

7.04 +0.31 (+4.6%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping up 4.6% premarket on 3.4M shares (6% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 7.1%.

Gap +4.6%
3.4M PM vol
6% of ADV
Range 7.1%

▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap

Bullish bias: gapping up 4.6% premarket on 3.4M shares (6% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

PRODUCT Relevance: High

Ondas launches joint venture with Palantir to develop and deploy specialized artificial intelligence models for customers.

Source: Ondas Partners Forms Regna AI With Palantir To Help Customers Develop And Deploy Mission-Specialized AI Models · Benzinga · Oct 12, 08:05 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:35 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 6.73
PM price: 7.04
Gap: +4.60%
PM high: 7.15
PM low: 6.67
PM range: 7.1%
PM volume: 3,428,410
PM vol / avg daily vol: 6%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 6.96

Levels to watch

20-day high (resistance)	7.98
Round number above	7.50
Premarket high	7.15
PM price	7.04
Round number below	7.00
Premarket VWAP	6.96
Previous-day high	6.91
20-day low (support)	6.79
Previous close	6.73
Premarket low	6.67
Previous-day low	6.64

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 7.15
PM low: 6.67
Last price: 7.07

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Followed Through

Official open: 7.06
10:30 price: 6.77
Session high: 7.08
Session low: 6.61
Close: 6.67

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +0.28%
Adverse: −6.37%
Open → close: −5.52%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 6.92
Opening-range risk boundary: 6.82
Reference risk (1R): 0.1020
MFE: +2.02% +1.37R
MAE: −4.48% −3.03R
First touch: +1R 09:40 · +2R — · −1R 10:07

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#9 IONQ

IonQ, Inc. · NYSE

38.85 −1.04 (−2.6%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping down 2.6% premarket on 1.2M shares (5% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 9.9%.

Gap −2.6%
1.2M PM vol
5% of ADV
Range 9.9%

▼ BEARISH BIAS Gap

Bearish bias: gapping down 2.6% premarket on 1.2M shares (5% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

M&A Relevance: High

IonQ acquires cybersecurity firm Elisity in all-stock deal valued up to $1.3B.

Source: 'IonQ to Buy Cybersecurity Firm for Up to $1.3 Billion' - WSJ · Benzinga · Oct 12, 07:02 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 08:00 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 39.89
PM price: 38.85
Gap: −2.61%
PM high: 42.11
PM low: 38.18
PM range: 9.9%
PM volume: 1,162,078
PM vol / avg daily vol: 5%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 39.05

Levels to watch

20-day high (resistance)	47.91
Premarket high	42.11
Previous-day high	40.24
Previous close	39.89
Premarket VWAP	39.05
Previous-day low	38.99
PM price	38.85
Premarket low	38.18
Round number below	38.00
20-day low (support)	35.00

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 42.11
PM low: 38.18
Last price: 38.89

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Strong Follow-Through

Official open: 38.79
10:30 price: 36.15
Session high: 38.81
Session low: 35.89
Close: 36.27

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +7.48%
Adverse: −0.05%
Open → close: +6.50%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 38.09
Opening-range risk boundary: 38.81
Reference risk (1R): 0.7200
MFE: +5.78% +3.05R
MAE: −0.76% −0.40R
First touch: +1R 09:50 · +2R 10:04 · −1R —

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

#10 MDT

Medtronic plc · NYSE

90.50 +2.02 (+2.3%) PM price at 09:00 ET

Why it's in play

Gapping up 2.3% premarket on 2.0M shares (10% of its 30-day average daily volume), premarket range 2.8%.

Gap +2.3%
2.0M PM vol
10% of ADV
Range 2.8%

▲ BULLISH BIAS Gap

Bullish bias: gapping up 2.3% premarket on 2.0M shares (10% of avg daily volume).

Catalyst

OFFERING Relevance: High

Medtronic's MiniMed share exchange offer is oversubscribed; the company will exchange remaining shares at 4.5939 MiniMed shares per Medtronic ordinary share.

Source: Medtronic’s Previously Announced MiniMed Share Exchange Offer Oversubscribed As Company Moves To Exchange Remaining 252,813,348 Shares; 4.5939 Shares Of MiniMed Common Stock Will Be Exchanged For Each Medtronic Ordinary Share Accepted In The Exchange Offer · Benzinga · Oct 12, 08:50 ET

Summary written by PremarketPlay from news available before 09:00 ET.

Premarket snapshot

Previous close: 88.48
PM price: 90.50
Gap: +2.28%
PM high: 90.55
PM low: 88.10
PM range: 2.8%
PM volume: 1,970,518
PM vol / avg daily vol: 10%
Relative activity: unavailable
PM VWAP: 89.68

Levels to watch

Round number above	95.00
20-day high (resistance)	94.70
Premarket high	90.55
PM price	90.50
Round number below	90.00
Previous-day high	89.81
Premarket VWAP	89.68
Previous close	88.48
Premarket low	88.10
Previous-day low	87.40
20-day low (support)	85.22

Final PM levels (09:29 ET)

PM high: 91.25
PM low: 88.10
Last price: 91.00

Informational. Captured after the official freeze. Not part of the evaluated plan.

After the Bell Limited/Mixed

Official open: 90.76
10:30 price: 90.97
Session high: 92.87
Session low: 90.71
Close: 91.93

Open Move from the official open, in the bias direction

Favourable: +2.32%
Adverse: −0.06%
Open → close: +1.29%

Standardised Outcome ?

09:35 Reference: 91.90
Opening-range risk boundary: 90.71
Reference risk (1R): 1.19
MFE: +1.06% +0.82R
MAE: −1.24% −0.96R
First touch: +1R — · +2R — · −1R —

Calculated Oct 12, 16:15 ET · methodology v1 · SIP 1Min bars

Record

Frozen: 09:00:18 ET
Data as of: 09:00 ET
Public from: 16:00 ET (session close)
Session: 09:30–16:00 ET
Versions: selection v2 · bias v1 · catalyst v2 · methodology v1
Snapshot SHA-256: 7c69b36a74c25a8cf37900a59c52f13ccfeafa5cd906ce3f78ef71cdf2769410

The plan was sealed with this hash at the freeze, and the database refuses any later change to it. Corrections appear as separate, timestamped notes. How the freeze works.